π₯ Isolation Delay
Time from detection to isolation placement - Isolation delay (ID) indicator
π Filters
Mean Delay
3.8
days
Median Delay
3.2
days
Isolated Cases
5820
Not Isolated
180
Baseline ΟID (model)
3 days
Target: 1 day
Peak Reduction
7%
ΟID: 3β1 day
π Charts
Isolation Status
Delay by Isolation Type
π Figure 4 β Effect of Isolation Delay on Outbreak Size (ΟID sensitivity)
| ΟID (days) | Peak Reduction vs 7d | ΟH rate | Finding |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 days (worst) | 0% (reference) | 1/(5+7) = 0.083/day | β Worst case |
| 5 days | Modest | 1/(5+5) = 0.100/day | β οΈ Modest improvement |
| 3 days β CURRENT BASELINE | ~5% better than 7d | 1/(5+3) = 0.125/day | β οΈ Current performance |
| 1 day β TARGET β | 7% peak reduction | 1/(5+1) = 0.167/day | β Sharpest decline achievable |
Key finding: Curves separate uniformly (unlike detection delay). ΟID Rt impact: 3β1 day = +0.18 Rt reduction. Complements detection delay β detection = who enters pipeline, isolation = how fast removed.
π₯ Isolation Delay by Age Group
| Age Group | Cases Detected | Isolated | Mean Delay (days) | Median Delay | Not Isolated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Infants (0-5) | 480 | 468 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 12 |
| Children (6-17) | 540 | 527 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 13 |
| Young Adults (18-34) | 1920 | 1862 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 58 |
| Adults (35-44) | 1080 | 1047 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 33 |
| Mature Adults (45-54) | 600 | 578 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 22 |
| Seniors (55-64) | 280 | 266 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 14 |
| Elderly (65+) | 120 | 104 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 16 |